Good morning, and welcome to the Essential California
newsletter. It’s
Friday, May 31, and I’m writing from Los Angeles.
Just about everyone who matters in the California Democratic Party will descend on San Francisco this weekend to fraternize, strategize and pick a new party leader after
the last chairman resigned in disgrace. Welcome to the
annual California Democratic Party convention.
But this year’s state party
convention will be about more than just California politics:
Nearly every major Democratic 2020 presidential candidate (save for Joe Biden) will be among those rubbing elbows at the Moscone Convention Center.
Los Angeles Times politics reporters
Melanie Mason, Christine Mai-Duc and
Mark Z. Barabak will all be in attendance, reporting on the Shakespearean machinations, presidential candidate favor-currying and future of the state party.
I sat down with Melanie Mason, who’s covering the 2020 presidential campaign, for a preview of what’s to come.
What will people be watching for this year?First, we have half of the Democratic presidential field coming in to get face time with these state party leaders and activists. The convention has particular significance because there’s an assumption that California now has more influence in the primary process,
after moving the primary up from June to March. You’re going to have this cattle call of presidential candidates coming in, talking about how much they love California, sort of trying to ingratiate themselves with the most die-hard Democratic activists in the state.
The second theme will be the chair’s race going on for the leadership of the state party.
[More on that a little further down.]Who are the biggest power brokers at the convention? How will they shape the weekend?It’s sort of like a Russian nesting doll of powerful entities. There’s the big convention floor that will be open to all of the delegates. But there’s all of these caucuses, which are various affinity groups, such as the rural caucus or the Latino caucus or the labor caucus. These are fairly influential groups within the party, and we’ll see politicians coming by. While a lot of action is on the main floor, I find it more interesting to go to some of these caucus meetings, because you get to see more one-on-one interactions with key constituency groups. You can get a sense of where politicians are trying to shore up their support.
Some of the biggest, most influential players in the state Capitol also tend to throw big parties. The parties will be a who’s who in the progressive universe. It’s a way to say, “Look how much we matter, look at how we can get some of the buzziest electeds to show up.”
[See also: “As the California Democratic Party regroups after scandal, Newsom distances himself” by Christine Mai-Duc and Phil Willon]Will Sen. Kamala Harris have a home-state advantage at the convention?It's hard to have a home-state advantage in a place as massive as California. Unless you’ve been a political figure in the state for decades, like Jerry Brown or Dianne Feinstein, it’s difficult. Harris has actually been polling behind Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders among California voters. But Biden and Sanders have been on presidential tickets in either a primary or a general election in the state, so there’s a deep familiarity for voters. We’ll probably see something of a favored daughter status for Harris this weekend, with her prime speaking slot at the convention and parties featuring her. Questions remain about how Harris will be received among activists who aren’t the traditional party leaders. Will there be a sense that she’s a Californian and she’s our gal? Or are they still shopping around because they have so many options to choose from?
Fourteen presidential candidates will be there, but not Biden. Why?It's an interesting decision. He is going to be in San Francisco later next week for a fundraising jaunt. So, the calculus may be why make yourself one of 14, and potentially not get the warmest reception, when you could come back and build those California relationships in other ways.
Obviously, there are a lot of headlines now about Biden skipping the convention. But the truth is that this may not really be Biden’s crowd. The state party is pretty lefty. There’s a sizable contingent of Sanders supporters. I think if Biden has been trying to carve out a more centrist lane within the Democratic primary field, the audience of the state Democratic convention may not give him the warmest reception.
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