Good morning. It’s Friday, April 12. Here’s what you need to know to start your day.
Olympic-sized traffic? L.A. relied on buses in 1984
Four summers from now, Los Angeles will host the 2028 Olympic Games, bringing widespread media attention and a swell of international tourism. Organizers and local leaders are also bracing for another influx: apocalyptic traffic.
Those are valid concerns in car-centric L.A. There are over 1.5 million more people living in L.A. County now than there were in 1984. The most recent estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau put L.A. County’s population at 9.6 million. At the end of 1984, the county had roughly 7.9 million people, according to state officials.
That’s before considering the major uptick in international tourists bound for L.A. to catch the Games and explore the region. More people going more places generally means more cars — and more traffic.
I wasn’t around (or alive) the last time L.A. hosted the Olympic Games. But in the lead-up to the summer of 1984, there were similar widespread traffic fears. Some lawmakers even proposed moving a holiday to give workers a day off and instituting a temporary four-day workweek as a way to reduce traffic during the games. Four years before those Games, a state Department of Transportation official warned local leaders that the region would be crippled by congestion “unless extraordinary measures are taken.”
Then the 1984 Olympics arrived. How bad was traffic?
What traffic?
“Los Angeles freeways flowed more smoothly during the Olympics than at any time since the last gas crisis,” former Times reporter Mark A. Stein reported in September 1984. “It was a kind of automotive nirvana — higher traffic volumes yet less congestion — that was hard to believe at the time and harder still to explain when it vanished.”
There were a few key actions that contributed to that success. Some businesses adopted flexible schedules, staggering workers’ start times, which meant they weren’t all driving at once. Improved and cohesive real-time traffic data and a united approach to managing congestion also helped.
And there were the buses.
That era’s Southern California Rapid Transit District (predecessor of the L.A. County Metropolitan Transportation Authority) pulled out all the stops. It boosted its bus fleet by borrowing 550 buses from local agencies, transported passengers in dedicated lanes protected from car traffic and encouraged residents and those attending Olympic events to board the bus rather than drive themselves.
And it worked. Congestion on many local roads fell and the investment in fast, frequent bus service was heralded as a model for how to defeat soul-sucking traffic.
And traffic was never a problem again. *sigh*
The region has changed a lot in the last 30 years. For one thing, we now have six subway and light rail lines spanning more than 100 miles, as opposed to zero lines and zero miles in 1984.
As local leaders’ ambitions to host the Olympics took shape, so did plans to dramatically expand the region’s rail network in time for the Games. L.A.’s hosting gig “creates a strong added incentive to quickly improve mobility across the region,” L.A. County Metropolitan Transportation Authority officials stated in their Vision 2028 Strategic Plan.
But as Times transportation reporter Rachel Uranga explained recently, their expectations wrote checks that their coffers couldn’t cash.
“The price tag and timeline were out of reach for many of the projects,” Rachel wrote last week. “Metro hasn’t been able to line up even half of the $40 billion needed to pay for them.”
So now, with their grand plans fizzled, officials are turning once more to the humble bus.
Their next challenge, Rachel reported: “trying to figure out how to pay more than $1 billion to run buses that will probably disappear after the Games.”
L.A. Metro has estimated it could cost at least $700 million to hire, train and pay the legion of temporary drivers and mechanics it would take to keep buses running during the event. The agency also may have to lease more buses, which could push that price tag to $1 billion.
Officials from LA28, the private organizing committee behind the upcoming Games, say they won’t foot that entire bill. So who will?
Organizers hope the federal government will help. But Metro officials are expressing more worry, saying existing federal grants won’t come close to the amount needed to pull off another L.A. traffic miracle.
Despite the crumbled or scaled back plans, there’s still some hope for L.A. public transit to have its 2028 moment.
“Officials have dubbed this a ‘car-free’ Games largely because of this lack of parking, which they believe will force visitors to use public transit,” Rachel wrote. “Transit officials hope it will be a bright spot for the Metro system, which has struggled in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic.”
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